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Danger 2018:

The Russian authorities, before the prospect of reducing the rate of profit and the loss of power, may instruct the Russian special services to convince the third oil producers to come to terms with the IGIL so that it will destroy the oil refinery, oil pipeline or oil fields of competitors.
The discount rate will increase, and the United States are no longer able to service its debt.
US Government-worthless bonds. The dollar will collapse.
Shale oil is on the decline - has reached a wave of reduced investment.

Becoming more expensive resources overturned China's economy:
It formed a vicious circle:
A further its growth is only possible due to the growth in domestic consumption.
And the growth of domestic consumption means the rise of the labor force.
Therefore, over-inflating recent years, growing internal debt.
And, rising raw materials and reduced demand in major markets - the United States - would lead to economic disaster.

Again, the collapse of cheap oil will not stop.
Debt and credit crunch will affect the third world: hunger begins.
Under these conditions, recruitment in LIH jump. Start a war.
Bypass System "intellectual property" pharmaceutical companies will stop - 1st world is not up to them. In the 3rd World disease begin.

In particular - the crisis in the USA to Russia will not.
But Russian authorities to maintain power may attack an ally - Kazakhstan.
In Kazakhstan, naturally, then it penetrates Islam.
And the danger to the world from this may be greater than in Ukraine.

3rd world and upset outweigh 1st, forcing him to abandon democracy. Therefore -
An alternative way: "Network innovation economy" - oriented - the 2nd world dictatorships.
The difference between the "Network of innovative economy" - a parallel (non-governmental) in the parallel economy (Internet) world.

Why did the Soviet Union fell?
- Extensive expansion of production was effective only when overtaking development.
In the late Soviet investments become unprofitable.

China is a similar path:
Although it uses more efficient than the USSR, market mechanisms, but to go for innovation and technology overtaking Japan, its state-capitalist system is not capable of.
Therefore, unlike Taiwan, China does not catch up with developed countries in the efficiency of the economy. And, like the Soviet Union, has entered a "standstill."
Excessive expansion even advanced, today, manufactures, too, will create a crisis of overproduction of means of production.
China postponed the crisis in 2008, making an artificial, unprofitable investments in infrastructure. After 10 years, the time comes to pay.
And, unlike the isolated economy of the USSR, the Chinese crisis drags US.

Market - for innovation is not efficient, too:
"Socialization" of production should concern not just the production, but only - innovation and technological development.
- Venture market for it is not effective.
"Network innovation economy" will replace it in the usual competition.
Moreover, the "socialization" - is not the socialization of property, and - knowledge.
It is only important not to be late.


B - US debt greatly overrated.
Why the price increase?
About - Because the US are buying them on the market in their own - for dollars.

B - Why, then, does not depreciate?
About - Because the United States did not spend those dollars.
Many dictators finished by printing money and buying them assets and currency,
In the United States operates a system of checks and balances.
The data may even dollars and are not printed, and exist only as a record in the computer.

B - But its US debt to pay the interest the new debt, and it is growing like a snowball?
ABOUT - US lowers lending rate on the market, printing in excess and dollars, and debt. After all, the United States - exclusive borrower.

Investors in the market see the overvaluation of US debt.
Therefore, the United States were forced to further enhance the value and dollars and debt, more to remove them from circulation.

However, the monopoly of the United States is now over.
- Yuan also became a reserve currency. And many consider it more reliable, secured by real assets.
It is only complicates the crisis of overproduction in China.
But the instability of this does not diminish, but on the contrary, it becomes more dangerous.