On Malthusianism:
let me Remind you:
Malthusianism is the theory that population grows faster than food production – because of the declining fertility of the land.
Malthus is wrong:
Today, land has become far from the leading factor in food production.
In principle, humanity is already capable of producing food for 100 billion people.
(What that might be "food" is another question.)
People's growth is being slowed and their food production capacity is growing almost exponentially.
But is it possible?
Malthusians know little about physics, chemistry and biology.
- The main factor of food production today is energy.
Food calories can be produced without Sunlight.
What's the point of talking about chemistry if 1-2% of people would rather die of hunger than eat "chemistry"? –
- Just between "chemistry" and "organics" there is an endless continuum of intermediate, acceptable options.
the Production of energy can be increased indefinitely, literally.
"the Dyson Sphere" is the most primitive option.
In addition to it there are an infinite number of others, and 100% realistic options.
The leading factor today is – public intelligence - the ability to implement these endless options.
And yet Malthus is right, but in another:
the Food really may not be enough.
– Because of the work of the 4th – the most uncertain factor – political.
The most primitive scenario is a global catastrophe.
The probability of disaster for natural reasons is close to zero.
But not small the likelihood catastrophe – man-made.
Unauthorized use of nuclear weapons is the simplest option.
Rulers do not care about "stability margin" for their subordinates.
- It is enough to miss only 1 harvest, and there will be a humanitarian disaster.
The salvation of the subordinates – the subordinates.
On the 2nd hand, "Price issue" "Insurance" "wood" equipment capable of feeding humanity 1 year - is equal to 0.0% of its annual military budget today.
The global humanitarian catastrophe is harmful not so much the death of tens of millions of people as possible "chain" death of Civilization.
However, a nuclear war, or a man-made disaster of any kind – climatic, genetic, or the like - is also unlikely - in themselves.
However, there is a high probability of another "artificial" catastrophe – political.
- Despite the unlimited possibility of feeding people, this food may be simply unnecessary – because of the uselessness and harmfulness of the people themselves-for others "people", which will no longer be quite people, or rather, not people, and, according to today's concepts – "monsters", "symbiotes".
On Social ecology:
It is very simple:
Either environmentalists perekvalifitsiruetsya in politicians.
Or ecology will not be the fault of political science.
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