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Hawking In Response to Johnny Depp's Singularity Film Supremacy -
“If a superior alien civilization sent us the message“ We will arrive in a few centuries, ”would we say, okay, call us when you get here, the doors will be open? Probably not, but this is roughly what happens to AI. ”

Musk compared the use of AI to "summoning a demon" and called it the biggest and most real threat to humanity. Musk called for the creation of a national and international regulation for the development of AI.

Barratt - Our Latest Invention: Artificial Intelligence

Vinge coined the term "singularity"
https://habr.com/ru/company/robohunter/blog/381157/

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man is an intermediate link that nature needs to create the crown of creation: glasses of cognac
Turing test

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Bostrom, Nick
Artificial Intelligence. Stages. Threats. Strategies

Partner Foreword

... I have one friend, - said Edik. - He claims that man is an intermediate link that nature needs to create the crown of creation: a glass of cognac with a slice of lemon.
Arkady and Boris Strugatsky. Monday starts Saturday

Computers, or rather algorithms based on continuously growing computing power, play chess, checkers and backgammon better than people. They fly planes very well. They were able to pass the Turing test, convincing the judges of their "humanity." Once a taxi driver in Dublin, the city where the European headquarters of many global IT companies are located, told me that he welcomes the rapid development of the technological sector of his country, but then he added with regret: “One problem - because of these smart guys pretty soon taxi drivers will not be needed. " Driverless cars controlled by computers are already being tested on regular roads in several countries. According to the philosopher Nick Bostrom, whose book you are holding in your hands, all these are links of the same chain and pretty soon, due to the development of computer technologies, all of us, the human race, may end.
The author believes that the deadly threat is associated with the possibility of creating artificial intelligence that surpasses the human mind. A catastrophe can break out both at the end of the 21st century and in the coming decades. The whole history of mankind shows: when a collision of a representative of our species, Homo sapiens, and anyone else inhabiting our planet occurs, the one who is smarter wins. Until now, we were the smartest, but we have no guarantees that this will last forever.
Nick Bostrom writes that if smart computer algorithms learn to independently make even smarter algorithms, and they, in turn, are even smarter, there will be an explosive growth of artificial intelligence, in comparison with which people will look something like ants next to people, in intellectual sense, of course. A new, albeit artificial, but superintelligent species will appear in the world. It doesn't matter what he “comes to mind”, an attempt to make all people happy or a decision to stop anthropogenic pollution of the world's oceans in the most effective way, that is, by destroying humanity, people will not be able to resist this. No chance of a Terminator-style confrontation, no shootouts with iron cyborgs. Chess and checkmate await us - as in a duel between the Deep Blue chess computer and a first-grader.

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more and more objects of the physical world are controlled by computers and software, often imperfect, leaky and vulnerable; an increasing number of such sites are connected to the Internet, and threats from cyber peace are quickly becoming a physical security issue, and potentially life and death.
This is why Nick Bostrom's book seems so interesting. The first step in preventing nightmarish scenarios (for a single computer network or for the whole of humanity) is to understand what they might be.

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The Rifters by Peter Watts.

Synopsis 2

Each of us carries a small box of thinking meat on our shoulders. I use mine to speak, you use yours to listen. Sometimes, under the right conditions, these minds are able to think rationally. In principle, this is possible.

www.ru.wikipedia.org/wiki/Roger_Penrose

cheetah example

All the threats that humanity has faced so far have been natural ooze around
As a species, we have no experience of confronting such a threat that AI could become.
Therefore, it is difficult to imagine this threat, or it seems implausible to us.
Therefore, the threat of AI is not taken seriously.
(Max)

To Moore's Law
Perhaps the improvement of the physical medium () of the electronic brain) is not even as important as the improvement of programs, more complex algorithms, more efficiently using available resources. (electronic consciousness based on silicon carrier)
(Max)

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Let's say one day people in funny clothes appear on your doorstep, asking you if you would like to join their movement. They believe that in two years the Earth will be visited by a UFO, and that our task is to prepare humanity for the Great Ascent along the Beam.
An internal perspective requires engaging in discussion of their arguments. You ask the visitors how they found out about the UFO, why they think it is heading for us to pick us up - you ask all the normal questions a skeptic would ask in such a case.
Imagine that you talked to them for an hour and they convinced you. They firmly confirmed the imminent advent of UFOs, the need to prepare for it, and you have never believed in anything so much in your life as you now believe in the importance of preparing mankind for this great event.
The outer perspective tells you something different. People are dressed strangely, they have beads, they live in some kind of remote camp, they speak at the same time and are a little scary. And although their arguments are ironclad, all your experience says that you are faced with a cult.
Of course, they have great arguments about why you should ignore instinct, but this is an internal perspective. The external perspective does not care about the content, she sees the form and context, and she does not like the result.

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Ask questions from the point of view of a skeptic.

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Reply:
“I find it highly suspicious of the idea that intelligence is something like processor speed, that is, that some intelligent enough creature can emulate less intelligent ones (like their human creators), regardless of the complexity of their mental architecture.” < / p>

Synopsis 3

If AdSense had found its senses, it would have pumped itself into the computer of a robocar and pulled off a cliff.

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Why the omnipotence of AI, immortality to us, mere mortals
Someone robotization, and someone unemployment

An American plutocrat (most likely Elon Musk, who thinks the odds of us living in a simulation are a billion to one) hired a couple of coders to try and hack the simulation.

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When the propaganda program starts, then Settlements will be relevant.
Now they are perceived as nonsense.

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People who are able to reach absurd conclusions based on a long chain of abstract reasoning, and remain confident in their truth, are not the people who should be trusted to rule the culture.

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In his book, Bostrom lists six things that AI must do well before taking over the world:

  1. Intelligence multiplication.
  2. Strategic thinking.
  3. Social manipulation.
  4. Hacks.
  5. Technology research.
  6. Economic productivity.

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Sam Altman, Head of YCombinator
engages in shady political machinations
This cloak-and-dagger behavior, inherent in the technoelite, will provoke negative feedback from people who are not involved in technology, who do not like to be manipulated. It is impossible to endlessly pull the levers of power, this will eventually begin to irritate other members of the democratic community.

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Stanislav Lem

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our understanding of the mind is about the same state as alchemy was in the 17th century.

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there are things we critically underestimate the complexity.
An alchemist could hold a stone in one hand and a tree in the other, and consider them examples of "substance", not realizing that wood is orders of magnitude more complicated. We are at a similar stage in the study of consciousness.
In the not-too-distant future, the AI ​​and machine learning we will encounter will be very different from the phantasmagoric AI in Bostrom's book, and will present serious challenges of their own.

Just as alchemists did not distinguish between the complexity of substances, and now they underestimate the complexity of the mind. I tried to convey the phantasmagoric nature of AI Bostrom in `` anthropomorphism. '' (dad)

The depressing ethical issues of machine learning are not related to the fact that machines are aware of themselves and conquer the world, but to how some people can exploit others, or as a result of carelessness, implement immoral behavior of automatic systems.

Synopsis 4

We must learn the lesson of Stephen Hawking the cat: don't let the geniuses running the industry convince you of anything. Act on your own!
In the absence of effective leadership from the first people in the industry, it is we who must do everything ourselves - including thinking about all the ethical issues that real-life AI brings to the world.

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Bostrom is popular among alarmists.

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The idea is not to save people time, but to convince them that they are wasting time on important things.

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& quot; List of dates predicted for apocalyptic events & quot;

2239

Talmud, & nbsp; Judaism

According to the Talmud, the Messiah will come through & nbsp; 6000 years & nbsp ; after creating & nbsp; Adam , and the world could be destroyed in 1000 years.

2280

Rashad Khalifa Rashad Khalifa

According to a study from the Qur'an by this Egyptian-American biochemist, the world will end this year.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_dates_predicted_for_apocalyptic_events

Perspective Effect:

John McCarthy, who coined the term “AI” in 1956, remarked: “Once it starts working, no one else calls it artificial intelligence.”

While the new gadget is seen in the distance on the horizon - it is visible next to a person who is also on the horizon, but when the gadget is already nearby, it is compared to a person who still remains on the horizon - in comparison with this gadget.
The same claims to AI are on the rise
AI will be perceived as truly AI when it truly reaches human level in everything.