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About the war - my answer to Vanya:

 

Vania:

His recipe is wrong :

Alex thinks that it is necessary to curtail the "immortal regiment" to abolish military training and go smelling flowers. And then, all of a sudden on a girl cap, the boy will begin to romanticize the war. Better love European values. That's just "peaceful Europeans" are also in no hurry to disarm. Upgrade " Leclerc " create " Rafa " build aircraft carriers. There is nothing to say about the "citadel of democracy" - they need the strongest army in the world just like that, for the Pontus . Well, there’s a military budget to cut, which, by the way, is 10 times more than ours.

https://naked-science.ru/article/nakedscience/zhizn-posle-voyny

 

 

My:

The greatest threat is not the US government, but the Kremlin grouping.

Democracy is not a " show off ", but working social mechanisms that limit the arbitrariness of rulers.

In Europe and the USA, they are not perfect, but almost enough to pass the "Great Filter".

The Russian model of “Guided Democracy” is a greater threat than the threat of warming, volcanoes and all natural threats combined.

And if the threat of nuclear war ≈20- 25 %, the threat of "political singularity" > 50% - is the use of artificial intelligence to the manipulation yatsii consciousness "Wan".

Yes, the "Political Singularity" is not at all as terrible as a nuclear war, but only the first 200 years, while the rulers will be dependent on the problem population.

Therefore, it is more correct to say
not - We are the Boss and I, and They are Europeans,
but - We are ordinary people, and They are rulers.

Suppose Van is already indifferent to the painful death of his great-grandchildren, then let him simply compare his life with the German , whom he wants to "repeat."

 

And one more thing: Intermediate- range missiles are dangerous precisely because of the short time needed to correct errors in automation.

And the Kremlin violated this Treaty. And it is he who acts as the blackmailer- terrorist who has taken 7 billion hostages -

And it is precisely in the Russian Federation that a weapon failure is more likely.

Non-people need war - not self-determining their lives (and this is "democracy").

That is, "democracy" is not just "values", but a method:

a . War prevention

b . Prevent the abuse of power that will destroy humanity.

 

 

Vania:

Well, you tell your grandmother about the singularity. But the United States withdrew from the INF Treaty. Like the treaty on missile defense. Your faith in the purity of the thoughts of Western rulers is simply touching. And unfortunately, "democracy" is a very fragile thing. As you yourself have noticed, it is imperfect . Hitler came to power in a completely democratic way. And they say he was the only politician who actually fulfilled campaign promises. Again, it is your confidence that the change of power is a magic wand that immediately makes us live “like a German.” Examples? Yes, at least China. There were no Western-style democracies and nothing had risen like that. Under the leadership of the Communist Party. Lee Kuan Yew , the author of the “Singapore Miracle,” also spoke not very flattering about Western democracy. But we still have 3/4 Asia and only a quarter - Europe. ps and the funniest thing in all of this is that Vanya is not at all enthusiastic about what the " dumbass " built in Russia. But in my opinion this is a problem of a particular ruler and his environment, and not a democracy-autocracy.

 

 

My:

About INF violation:

"The Russian Ministry of Defense itself provided the United States with evidence of a violation of the INF Treaty by the Russian Federation"

https://rusmonitor.com/minoborony-rossii-samo-predostavilo-v-ruki-ssha-dokazatelstva-narusheniya-rf-dogovora-drsmd.html

"The US ambassador to Russia handed over the coordinates and dates of tests of the 9M729 rocket" 

www.gazeta.ru/army/news/2019/02/04/12600553.shtml

"The Kremlin did not expect Trump to make a decision."

US Kremlin accusations are nonsense.

"There is no other way to force Putin"

www.svoboda.org/a/usa-today-inf-treaty/29566762.html

 

It's not about the personality of the rulers,

and in the conditions x in which they are placed. -

Institutions of democracy forced ayut h istot have thoughts of western rulers .

- Western institutions of bad whether , but how something works, and in the Russian Federation - instead of openness , accountability and so on . d . other mechanisms work - propaganda.

 

The point is not specifically m rulers e . He , by the way, after the next election, likely to remain on the other - the strong post, "presidential" will not be back.

 

Yes, democracy and interchangeability and power alone are not enough.

You are right about Hitler. People can be manipulated , configured to their own detriment , create a loyal majority .

Therefore, and move forward to " Triad of salvation" :

1. "deliberative th structures and " - for professional use Politi ki, counteract, in particular, the "brainwashing" (move forward to from 1990) .

2. Online n- "games a " "Democracy", using satellite Internet,

3. Commonwealth mic o- "States" "Free (South) Russia" - to increase political competition.

 

An economy without democracy?

Money gives power; Rulers undergo natural selection for greed, cynicism and hypocrisy.

1. An uncontrolled corruptionist raises his price with the help of artificial difficulties, and this slows down the economy. Cheap oil as a reason is a hoax.

2. If there is no mechanism for pursuing the interests of people under the “pie” section , then they lose. Compare income inequality in Finland , Scandinavia and the Russian Federation.

There is in-depth research on the relationship between democracy and living standards.

 

The 1st fanatic Lee Kuan Yew , who imprisoned friends, accounts for a hundred "normal" ones.

Of course, the debatable question - where are people happier - is in China or Taiwan. -

This is not about educating a society of "wolves", but about survival.

 

“ Survivors ” would be better off thinking not about the effectiveness of killing hungry children, but about preventing them.

 

About singularity:

https://habr.com/en/post/293156/

I also think that in the West, many are very wrong about AI, Bostrom , for example , AI anthropomorphizes .

Threat associated with AI , in the West , in a sense - underestimate .

This threat will come not from the AI ​​itself, but from the use by its owners, and, above all, by rulers who are not under democratic control.

 

Probability of a nuclear war:

The likelihood of a nuclear war is greatly underestimated.

The probability of Chernobyl and Fukushima was underestimated by an order of magnitude (once every 10).

The reason is the imperfection of the structures of independent expertise.

 

On the contrary, the likelihood of a full-blown nuclear war is usually greatly exaggerated. And the main factor in reducing this probability , again - the Internet:

1. Russians are much less fanatical compared to Soviet people and Germans of World War II.

When the global social media and the YouTube , propaganda am harder you put yesterday's friends are not people I mi .

2. Owners of assets in the United States in the 2nd World War - earned, in the 3rd - they will lose, immediately , as in the Russian Federation .

 

The active phase of nuclear war will be fleeting. -

After the first exchange of “retaliatory” attacks, citizens will massively demand from the rulers to come to an agreement with each other, since the “red phones” are already indestructible .

 

The limited use of conventional nuclear warheads — long-term radiation contamination, like the danger of a “nuclear winter,” is also greatly exaggerated, usually.

However, for the horrors described in the article and the "limited war" will be enough.

The collapse of power will not. Just increase crime , - as in the previous war.

They’re scared by “ Anarchy ” in order to increase their popularity.

90% deficient s resource s will Supervised acce all the same rulers who will put a serial killer on blopostah .

Will be distributed - as Zhdanov in besieged Leningrad.

 

And it’s more dangerous - "cannibalistic" torpedoes - namely the Russian Federation.

In the case of "forced" use "status," cobalt bomb Hidden th "bad" encephalitic th influenza and with " antidote " for itself and hostages of 3 states , "luck" from Yellowstone volcano or the like - in the revival of Civilization will not be:

On the first hand, there will be enough textbooks,

From the 2nd side:

- The damaged genotype, including a decrease in the already small rationality,

- Enhancing e stestvenn th selection and on selfishness and non-humanity ,

- Used resources available,

- Irreversibly ruined ecology,

- The surviving textbooks will be used in the first turn - the surviving rulers - to manipulate the surviving mutants.

 

But the earth had the greatest chance of a sequel, but Wang and ruined everything and . And it is their "ears" that the survivors will curse . . (

 

 

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